Pre-tourney Rankings
North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#189
Expected Predictive Rating-1.1#181
Pace77.8#21
Improvement-0.7#217

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#198
First Shot-1.6#233
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#104
Layup/Dunks-1.3#223
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#170
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#80
Freethrows-3.0#332
Improvement-1.4#256

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#198
First Shot+1.5#118
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#344
Layups/Dunks-1.2#226
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#326
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#11
Freethrows+0.0#185
Improvement+0.7#141
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 3.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 6.00.0 - 9.0
Quad 22.0 - 1.02.0 - 10.0
Quad 32.0 - 4.04.0 - 14.0
Quad 410.0 - 3.014.0 - 17.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 63   @ Dayton L 70-78 13%     0 - 1 +2.5 +3.5 -1.2
  Nov 09, 2018 42   @ Penn St. L 72-87 8%     0 - 2 -1.5 -0.8 +1.0
  Nov 17, 2018 132   @ Wright St. L 72-89 25%     0 - 3 -11.7 +1.4 -12.9
  Nov 20, 2018 109   Southern Miss W 64-48 28%     1 - 3 +20.3 -10.9 +30.1
  Nov 21, 2018 129   Jacksonville St. L 78-83 33%     1 - 4 -2.1 +6.7 -8.7
  Nov 27, 2018 28   @ Florida L 66-98 6%     1 - 5 -16.1 +4.0 -20.5
  Nov 29, 2018 323   Florida A&M W 81-62 86%     2 - 5 +5.3 +3.3 +1.3
  Dec 01, 2018 176   @ Charleston Southern W 76-70 36%     3 - 5 +7.9 -3.3 +10.5
  Dec 11, 2018 45   @ Minnesota L 71-80 9%     3 - 6 +4.4 +2.8 +1.9
  Dec 13, 2018 210   @ Florida International L 89-102 43%     3 - 7 -12.9 +1.5 -12.2
  Dec 15, 2018 176   Charleston Southern W 68-61 57%     4 - 7 +3.3 -13.7 +16.1
  Dec 19, 2018 13   @ Florida St. L 81-95 4%     4 - 8 +5.1 +13.4 -7.2
  Dec 29, 2018 11   @ Auburn L 49-95 3%     4 - 9 -26.5 -21.5 -0.8
  Jan 05, 2019 301   North Alabama W 96-67 81%     5 - 9 1 - 0 +18.0 +16.8 +0.1
  Jan 09, 2019 57   @ Lipscomb L 66-81 12%     5 - 10 1 - 1 -3.9 -4.7 +1.7
  Jan 12, 2019 220   Florida Gulf Coast W 87-66 66%     6 - 10 2 - 1 +14.9 +2.1 +10.5
  Jan 16, 2019 330   @ Stetson W 87-77 75%     7 - 10 3 - 1 +1.0 +10.8 -9.6
  Jan 19, 2019 90   @ Liberty L 64-70 17%     7 - 11 3 - 2 +2.2 -4.6 +6.7
  Jan 21, 2019 188   NJIT L 72-76 60%     7 - 12 3 - 3 -8.4 -2.6 -5.8
  Jan 24, 2019 264   Jacksonville L 81-86 75%     7 - 13 3 - 4 -13.8 -1.6 -11.8
  Jan 27, 2019 220   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 80-88 45%     7 - 14 3 - 5 -8.5 -0.1 -7.7
  Jan 30, 2019 340   @ Kennesaw St. L 64-81 82%     7 - 15 3 - 6 -28.5 -21.9 -4.3
  Feb 06, 2019 57   Lipscomb L 55-92 24%     7 - 16 3 - 7 -31.4 -16.2 -14.1
  Feb 09, 2019 301   @ North Alabama W 82-73 64%     8 - 16 4 - 7 +3.5 +9.7 -6.1
  Feb 13, 2019 340   Kennesaw St. W 80-57 92%     9 - 16 5 - 7 +5.9 -1.1 +6.7
  Feb 16, 2019 188   @ NJIT W 64-63 39%     10 - 16 6 - 7 +2.1 -4.5 +6.7
  Feb 20, 2019 264   @ Jacksonville W 80-73 OT 56%     11 - 16 7 - 7 +3.8 -4.4 +7.2
  Feb 23, 2019 90   Liberty W 75-70 33%     12 - 16 8 - 7 +7.7 +3.6 +4.1
  Feb 26, 2019 330   Stetson W 77-67 88%     13 - 16 9 - 7 -4.5 -5.0 +0.3
  Mar 04, 2019 301   North Alabama W 76-66 81%     14 - 16 -1.0 -2.5 +1.1
  Mar 07, 2019 90   @ Liberty L 63-71 17%     14 - 17 +0.2 +1.7 -2.5
Projected Record 14.0 - 17.0 9.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 100.0
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%